Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-12-27 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NJD: 51.0%

CAR: 49.0%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.68

CAR: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	31	29	2	93.5%	3.68	2	1.68
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	23	19	4	82.6%	3.47	4	-0.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • NJD at home vs CAR: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	10	0	0.59
1	CAR	17	2	1.43
2	NJD	15	2	1.14
2	CAR	23	0	1.47
3	NJD	13	2	1.73
3	CAR	14	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.7 - 2.7