Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-12-27 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 67.6%
MIN: 32.4%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.37
MIN: 2.46
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | DAL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.915 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DAL at home vs MIN: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | DAL 5 - 4 MIN | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-03-21 | MIN 2 - 1 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-11 | MIN 5 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-10-14 | DAL 5 - 2 MIN | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-04-06 | MIN 3 - 2 DAL | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:52 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:08 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:36 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:33 | DAL | Goal |
| 4 | 00:35 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 67.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.4 - 2.5
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