Colorado Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-12-27 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 53.4%

COL: 46.6%

Expected Goals

UTA: 2.93

COL: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • UTA at home vs COL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	UTA 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-23	COL 1 - 0 UTA	COL	COL
2025-10-21	UTA 4 - 3 COL	UTA	UTA
2025-10-09	COL 2 - 1 UTA	COL	COL
2024-12-27	UTA 1 - 4 COL	COL	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	12	2	0.83
1	COL	20	1	1.08
2	UTA	12	0	0.77
2	COL	16	2	1.28
3	UTA	25	1	1.51
3	COL	14	3	2.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0