Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-12-27 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

SJS: 32.0%

VGK: 68.0%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.84

VGK: 3.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • SJS at home vs VGK: 0-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-11	SJS 2 - 7 VGK	VGK	SJS
2025-12-23	VGK 7 - 2 SJS	VGK	VGK
2025-11-29	VGK 4 - 3 SJS	VGK	VGK
2025-10-09	SJS 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-07	SJS 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	12	0	0.52
1	VGK	19	0	1.29
2	SJS	18	2	1.61
2	VGK	12	1	1.09
3	SJS	10	0	0.40
3	VGK	20	2	2.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.8 - 3.5