Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-12-28 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 54.9%
SEA: 45.1%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.98
SEA: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | VAN | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.949 | 0.896 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • VAN at home vs SEA: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | VAN 3 - 4 SEA | SEA | VAN |
| 2025-12-29 | SEA 2 - 3 VAN | VAN | SEA |
| 2025-04-02 | VAN 0 - 5 SEA | SEA | VAN |
| 2025-03-01 | SEA 6 - 3 VAN | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-01-02 | SEA 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:03 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 01:18 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 08:36 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 15:14 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 03:09 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 15:15 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:48 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:10 | VAN | Goal |
| 4 | 02:15 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2