Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-12-28 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 52.3%

SEA: 47.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.19

SEA: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • VAN at home vs SEA: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VAN 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2026-02-28	SEA 5 - 1 VAN	SEA	SEA
2026-01-02	VAN 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	VAN
2025-12-29	SEA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-02	VAN 0 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	8	0	0.62
1	SEA	11	0	0.77
2	VAN	12	0	0.92
2	SEA	15	0	1.01
3	VAN	11	2	1.25
3	SEA	17	2	0.84
4	VAN	1	0	0.00
4	SEA	3	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1