Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-12-28 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

VAN: 42.3%

SEA: 57.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.36

SEA: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 38%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	29	24	5	82.8%	2.88	2	-2.12
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	22	18	4	81.8%	2.80	2	-1.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • VAN at home vs SEA: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VAN 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN
2026-02-28	SEA 5 - 1 VAN	SEA	SEA
2026-01-02	VAN 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	VAN
2025-12-29	SEA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-02	VAN 0 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	8	0	0.62
1	SEA	11	0	0.77
2	VAN	12	0	0.92
2	SEA	15	0	1.01
3	VAN	11	2	1.25
3	SEA	17	2	0.84
4	VAN	1	0	0.00
4	SEA	3	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1