New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-12-28 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CAR: 70.8%

NJD: 29.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.88

NJD: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 94% • CAR at home vs NJD: 9-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	24	0	1.14
1	NJD	12	0	0.49
2	CAR	17	0	1.06
2	NJD	13	2	1.23
3	CAR	19	3	2.92
3	NJD	10	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.9 - 2.5