New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-12-28 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CAR: 67.1%

NJD: 32.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.14

NJD: 2.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 45%

CAR

D. Tokarski

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	D. Tokarski	23	21	2	91.3%	2.36	2	0.36
NJD	Jake Allen	41	36	5	87.8%	5.12	3	0.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • CAR at home vs NJD: 15-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	24	0	1.14
1	NJD	12	0	0.49
2	CAR	17	0	1.06
2	NJD	13	2	1.23
3	CAR	19	3	2.92
3	NJD	10	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 2.4