Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-12-28 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 44.3%

OTT: 55.7%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.82

OTT: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WPG at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	OTT 4 - 2 WPG	OTT	OTT
2025-12-15	WPG 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-02-26	OTT 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	OTT
2024-12-28	WPG 4 - 2 OTT	WPG	OTT
2024-03-30	WPG 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	2	0.79
1	OTT	15	0	0.73
2	WPG	11	1	1.10
2	OTT	14	0	0.91
3	WPG	14	6	2.29
3	OTT	24	0	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.8 - 2.9