Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-12-28 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 46.4%
OTT: 53.6%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.16
OTT: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | WPG | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.879 | 0.920 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs OTT: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | OTT 4 - 2 WPG | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-12-15 | WPG 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | WPG |
| 2025-02-26 | OTT 1 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-28 | WPG 4 - 2 OTT | WPG | OTT |
| 2024-03-30 | WPG 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:40 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 04:03 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 12:46 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 15:01 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 09:47 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 11:19 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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