Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-12-28 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 6 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

NYI: 62.6%

PIT: 37.4%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.87

PIT: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 7.8

Over 5.5: 78%

Over 6.5: 66%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • NYI at home vs PIT: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	NYI 3 - 8 PIT	PIT	NYI
2026-02-03	NYI 5 - 4 PIT	NYI	PIT
2025-10-09	PIT 4 - 3 NYI	PIT	PIT
2025-03-18	PIT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	PIT
2024-12-29	PIT 3 - 2 NYI	PIT	NYI

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	14:47	NYI	Goal
1	16:03	NYI	Goal
2	05:39	NYI	Goal
2	08:36	NYI	Goal
2	09:39	NYI	Goal
2	13:49	NYI	Goal
2	19:56	NYI	Goal
3	14:43	NYI	Goal
3	19:38	NYI	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 6 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.9 - 2.8