Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-12-28 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 32.8%
CGY: 67.2%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.22
CGY: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 4.0
Over 5.5: 33%
Over 6.5: 24%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | SJS | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.925 | 0.922 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • SJS at home vs CGY: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | SJS 1 - 4 CGY | CGY | SJS |
| 2026-01-31 | CGY 3 - 2 SJS | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-12-16 | SJS 6 - 3 CGY | SJS | CGY |
| 2025-11-13 | CGY 2 - 0 SJS | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-04-13 | CGY 5 - 2 SJS | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:40 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 03:04 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 06:50 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 19:59 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Calgary Flames
Expected: 2.2 - 3.2
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