Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2024-12-29 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 53.8%
DAL: 46.2%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.19
DAL: 3.15
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | CHI | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | 0.870 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CHI at home vs DAL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | CHI 4 - 3 DAL | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-12-27 | DAL 3 - 4 CHI | CHI | DAL |
| 2024-12-29 | CHI 1 - 5 DAL | DAL | CHI |
| 2024-11-27 | CHI 6 - 2 DAL | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-11-07 | DAL 3 - 1 CHI | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:20 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 17:12 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 08:23 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:46 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:10 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:55 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.2 - 3.1