Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-12-29 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

CHI: 35.0%

DAL: 65.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.72

DAL: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	35	30	5	85.7%	3.89	2	-1.11
DAL	Jake Oettinger	25	24	1	96.0%	1.88	0	0.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CHI at home vs DAL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	DAL 4 - 3 CHI	DAL	DAL
2026-01-01	CHI 4 - 3 DAL	CHI	CHI
2025-12-27	DAL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	DAL
2024-12-29	CHI 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-27	CHI 6 - 2 DAL	CHI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.51
1	DAL	11	1	1.13
2	CHI	13	0	0.80
2	DAL	17	0	1.15
3	CHI	13	0	0.57
3	DAL	21	1	1.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4