Philadelphia Flyers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-12-29 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

LAK: 65.8%

PHI: 34.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.79

PHI: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs PHI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	LAK 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK
2026-01-31	PHI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	PHI
2024-12-29	LAK 5 - 4 PHI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-19	PHI 3 - 7 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-11-11	LAK 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	0	0.63
1	PHI	12	0	0.63
2	LAK	16	0	1.03
2	PHI	12	0	0.64
3	LAK	11	1	1.05
3	PHI	15	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0