New York Rangers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-12-30 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 New York Rangers

Win Probability

FLA: 66.1%

NYR: 33.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.88

NYR: 2.37

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	35	32	3	91.4%	3.76	2	0.76
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	26	21	5	80.8%	3.11	4	-1.89

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs NYR: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	12	0	0.61
1	NYR	16	0	0.75
2	FLA	15	1	0.86
2	NYR	18	1	1.57
3	FLA	12	3	1.64
3	NYR	25	1	1.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.9 - 2.4