Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-12-30 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

WPG: 54.7%

NSH: 45.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.06

NSH: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 5.4

Over 5.5: 49%

Over 6.5: 36%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	22	22	0	100.0%	1.86	0	1.86
NSH	Juuse Saros	28	25	3	89.3%	3.96	5	0.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • WPG at home vs NSH: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	WPG 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	WPG
2025-11-29	NSH 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NSH
2025-10-18	WPG 4 - 1 NSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-27	NSH 2 - 1 WPG	NSH	WPG
2025-01-07	WPG 5 - 2 NSH	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	13	0	0.64
1	NSH	18	0	0.77
2	WPG	12	0	0.75
2	NSH	8	0	0.39
3	WPG	18	5	2.56
3	NSH	13	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7