Utah Hockey Club at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-12-30 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 40.3%

UTA: 59.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.88

UTA: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	30	28	2	93.3%	3.08	0	1.08
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	33	28	5	84.8%	3.40	1	-1.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	SEA 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-01-17	UTA 6 - 3 SEA	UTA	UTA
2025-12-12	UTA 5 - 3 SEA	UTA	UTA
2025-04-08	UTA 7 - 1 SEA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-14	SEA 4 - 2 UTA	SEA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	19	0	1.22
1	UTA	11	0	0.76
2	SEA	16	0	0.51
2	UTA	27	0	1.29
3	SEA	14	1	1.66
3	UTA	21	0	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2