Boston Bruins at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-12-31 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 1 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

WSH: 63.2%

BOS: 36.8%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.56

BOS: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WSH at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	WSH 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2026-03-07	BOS 3 - 1 WSH	BOS	BOS
2025-10-08	WSH 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2025-04-01	BOS 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-12-31	WSH 3 - 1 BOS	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	16	1	1.41
1	BOS	17	2	1.30
2	WSH	14	2	1.26
2	BOS	15	0	0.88
3	WSH	16	2	1.86
3	BOS	21	2	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8