St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2024-12-31 • Wrigley Field
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 6 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 57.4%
STL: 42.6%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.20
STL: 3.64
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | CHI | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.810 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CHI at home vs STL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | CHI 7 - 3 STL | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-12-12 | STL 3 - 2 CHI | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-15 | STL 3 - 8 CHI | CHI | STL |
| 2025-03-22 | STL 4 - 1 CHI | STL | STL |
| 2025-02-08 | STL 6 - 5 CHI | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:40 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:10 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 15:26 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:15 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 13:34 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:51 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:15 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:18 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 6 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.2 - 3.6