Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-12-31 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 55.3%
PIT: 44.7%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.32
PIT: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | DET | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.884 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DET at home vs PIT: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | PIT 5 - 1 DET | PIT | DET |
| 2026-01-03 | DET 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | DET |
| 2026-01-01 | PIT 4 - 3 DET | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-12-31 | DET 4 - 2 PIT | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-13 | PIT 2 - 3 DET | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:52 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 18:29 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 03:41 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 03:18 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 14:26 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:46 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8
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