Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-12-31 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 59.0%
PIT: 41.0%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.23
PIT: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | DET | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.922 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • DET at home vs PIT: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | DET 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | DET |
| 2026-01-01 | PIT 4 - 3 DET | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-12-31 | DET 4 - 2 PIT | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-13 | PIT 2 - 3 DET | DET | PIT |
| 2024-10-10 | DET 3 - 6 PIT | PIT | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:52 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 18:29 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 03:41 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 03:18 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 14:26 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:46 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8