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2025-26 Season Live

Buffalo Sabres at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-12-31 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
DAL: 65.0%
BUF: 35.0%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.82
BUF: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 55%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
StatDALBUF
Season SV%0.9070.906
Last 5 SV%0.9160.847
SV% vs Opponent0.875
GAA2.572.82
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs BUF: 2-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-15BUF 3 - 4 DALDALBUF
2025-12-31DAL 1 - 4 BUFBUFDAL
2024-12-31DAL 4 - 2 BUFDALDAL
2024-10-22BUF 4 - 2 DALBUFBUF
2024-04-09DAL 3 - 2 BUFDALDAL

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
209:49DALGoal
210:20DALGoal
302:35DALGoal
304:57DALGoal
311:32DALGoal
318:23DALGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.8 - 2.6