Buffalo Sabres at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-12-31 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

DAL: 57.6%

BUF: 42.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.21

BUF: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs BUF: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	BUF 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	BUF
2025-12-31	DAL 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	DAL
2024-12-31	DAL 4 - 2 BUF	DAL	DAL
2024-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DAL	BUF	BUF
2024-04-09	DAL 3 - 2 BUF	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	17	1	1.44
1	BUF	12	0	0.55
2	DAL	17	1	1.14
2	BUF	13	2	1.85
3	DAL	20	3	1.85
3	BUF	11	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1