Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-12-31 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

MIN: 61.7%

NSH: 38.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.26

NSH: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	46	43	3	93.5%	4.27	3	1.27
NSH	Justus Annunen	38	33	5	86.8%	3.24	1	-1.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • MIN at home vs NSH: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-01	NSH 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-04-11	NSH 2 - 1 MIN	NSH	MIN
2026-02-04	NSH 5 - 6 MIN	MIN	NSH
2025-12-23	MIN 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-11-04	MIN 3 - 2 NSH	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	19	0	0.86
1	NSH	19	1	1.74
2	MIN	25	0	1.51
2	NSH	14	1	0.75
3	MIN	8	1	0.88
3	NSH	26	1	1.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9