Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-12-31 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

COL: 74.4%

WPG: 25.6%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.52

WPG: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

COL

Mackenzie Blackwood - 13-1-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.07 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Mackenzie Blackwood	22	20	2	90.9%	2.53	3	0.53
WPG	Eric Comrie	38	33	5	86.8%	3.38	3	-1.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • COL at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	19	0	0.92
1	WPG	15	0	0.77
2	COL	12	0	0.68
2	WPG	12	2	1.17
3	COL	16	3	1.78
3	WPG	9	1	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5