Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-12-31 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

CGY: 62.0%

VAN: 38.0%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.20

VAN: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 39%

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 14-14-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.82 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Dustin Wolf	24	23	1	95.8%	2.07	1	1.07
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	29	26	3	89.7%	3.47	4	0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CGY at home vs VAN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	16	2	1.32
1	VAN	16	0	0.81
2	CGY	13	0	0.68
2	VAN	10	1	0.84
3	CGY	14	2	1.47
3	VAN	10	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8