Boston Bruins at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-01-02 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 2 - 1 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 40.6%
BOS: 59.4%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.34
BOS: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 7.1
Over 5.5: 75%
Over 6.5: 59%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | NYR | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs BOS: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | NYR 4 - 3 BOS | NYR | NYR |
| 2026-01-10 | BOS 10 - 2 NYR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-11-28 | BOS 2 - 6 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-02-05 | NYR 3 - 2 BOS | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-02-01 | BOS 6 - 3 NYR | BOS | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:48 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 12:53 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 07:57 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 2 - 1 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1
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