Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-01-02 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 55.5%

DET: 44.5%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.78

DET: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CBJ at home vs DET: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	DET 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-12-04	CBJ 6 - 5 DET	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-22	DET 4 - 3 CBJ	DET	DET
2025-03-01	CBJ 5 - 3 DET	CBJ	DET
2025-02-27	DET 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	11	0	0.44
1	DET	14	2	1.62
2	CBJ	8	0	0.43
2	DET	8	0	0.22
3	CBJ	17	0	0.65
3	DET	8	1	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9