Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-01-02 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 52.8%
DET: 47.2%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.37
DET: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 26-19-9 | 0.908 SV% | 2.60 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.888 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.914 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CBJ at home vs DET: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | DET 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | DET |
| 2025-12-04 | CBJ 6 - 5 DET | CBJ | DET |
| 2025-11-22 | DET 4 - 3 CBJ | DET | DET |
| 2025-03-01 | CBJ 5 - 3 DET | CBJ | DET |
| 2025-02-27 | DET 2 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:42 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 06:55 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 14:39 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 17:09 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 11:09 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 18:40 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 04:54 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 17:19 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 19:24 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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