Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-01-02 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 57.2%
ANA: 42.8%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.63
ANA: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 48%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs ANA: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | WPG 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-02-27 | ANA 5 - 4 WPG | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-11-09 | ANA 4 - 1 WPG | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-16 | WPG 2 - 1 ANA | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-01-02 | WPG 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | WPG |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WPG | 13 | 1 | 0.85 |
| 1 | ANA | 14 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 2 | WPG | 17 | 2 | 1.55 |
| 2 | ANA | 7 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 3 | WPG | 17 | 1 | 1.24 |
| 3 | ANA | 12 | 0 | 0.27 |
| 4 | WPG | 3 | 0 | 0.23 |
| 4 | ANA | 2 | 0 | 0.08 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.6 - 3.2
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