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Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-01-02 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
WPG: 59.7%
ANA: 40.3%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.57
ANA: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 7.5
Over 5.5: 75%
Over 6.5: 64%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
StatWPGANA
Season SV%0.9070.888
Last 5 SV%0.8670.840
SV% vs Opponent0.8920.914
GAA2.513.15
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • WPG at home vs ANA: 2-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-10WPG 1 - 4 ANAANAANA
2026-02-27ANA 5 - 4 WPGANAANA
2025-11-09ANA 4 - 1 WPGANAANA
2025-04-16WPG 2 - 1 ANAWPGWPG
2025-01-02WPG 3 - 4 ANAANAWPG

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
100:33WPGGoal
117:17WPGGoal
118:58WPGGoal
206:52WPGGoal
317:16WPGGoal
318:10WPGGoal
403:34ANAGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.6 - 3.0