Utah Hockey Club at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-01-02 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 51.6%

UTA: 48.4%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.79

UTA: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 4.9

Over 5.5: 40%

Over 6.5: 26%

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CGY 4 - 1 UTA	CGY	UTA
2025-12-06	CGY 2 - 0 UTA	CGY	CGY
2025-10-15	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-04-01	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-01-02	CGY 3 - 5 UTA	UTA	CGY

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	08:51	UTA	Goal
1	19:12	CGY	Goal
2	06:19	UTA	Goal
2	07:26	CGY	Goal
2	15:14	CGY	Goal
3	00:37	CGY	Goal
3	02:35	UTA	Goal
3	19:00	UTA	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0