Utah Hockey Club at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-01-02 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

CGY: 47.9%

UTA: 52.1%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.08

UTA: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CGY at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CGY 4 - 1 UTA	CGY	UTA
2025-12-06	CGY 2 - 0 UTA	CGY	CGY
2025-10-15	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-04-01	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-01-02	CGY 3 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	12	1	0.62
1	UTA	11	0	0.70
2	CGY	10	0	0.62
2	UTA	9	0	0.62
3	CGY	10	0	0.40
3	UTA	15	2	2.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 5 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2