Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-01-02 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 55.3%
VAN: 44.7%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.26
VAN: 3.15
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 58%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | SEA | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.854 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.921 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SEA at home vs VAN: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | VAN 2 - 5 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2026-02-28 | SEA 5 - 1 VAN | SEA | SEA |
| 2026-01-02 | VAN 3 - 4 SEA | SEA | VAN |
| 2025-12-29 | SEA 2 - 3 VAN | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-04-02 | VAN 0 - 5 SEA | SEA | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:52 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 13:17 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:49 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 05:35 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 09:05 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:07 | SEA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.2
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.