Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-01-02 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 50.9%
VAN: 49.1%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.35
VAN: 3.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SEA at home vs VAN: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | VAN 2 - 5 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2026-02-28 | SEA 5 - 1 VAN | SEA | SEA |
| 2026-01-02 | VAN 3 - 4 SEA | SEA | VAN |
| 2025-12-29 | SEA 2 - 3 VAN | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-04-02 | VAN 0 - 5 SEA | SEA | VAN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 16 | 1 | 1.01 |
| 1 | VAN | 12 | 1 | 0.99 |
| 2 | SEA | 14 | 1 | 0.82 |
| 2 | VAN | 20 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 3 | SEA | 13 | 0 | 0.65 |
| 3 | VAN | 10 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 4 | SEA | 3 | 0 | 0.31 |
| 4 | VAN | 2 | 0 | 0.06 |
| 5 | SEA | 3 | 0 | 0.15 |
| 5 | VAN | 2 | 1 | 0.92 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.1
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.7
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