Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2025-01-03 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 53.7%
PIT: 46.3%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.05
PIT: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 30%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | FLA | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.694 | 0.921 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • FLA at home vs PIT: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | PIT 5 - 2 FLA | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-04-04 | PIT 9 - 4 FLA | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-10-23 | FLA 3 - 5 PIT | PIT | FLA |
| 2025-03-23 | FLA 4 - 3 PIT | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-03 | FLA 3 - 2 PIT | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 00:36 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 11:09 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 08:48 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:20 | FLA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | FLA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.