Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-01-03 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

FLA: 50.9%

PIT: 49.1%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.21

PIT: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • FLA at home vs PIT: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PIT 5 - 2 FLA	PIT	PIT
2026-04-04	PIT 9 - 4 FLA	PIT	PIT
2025-10-23	FLA 3 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-03-23	FLA 4 - 3 PIT	FLA	FLA
2025-01-03	FLA 3 - 2 PIT	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	2	1.08
1	PIT	21	1	1.60
2	FLA	24	1	1.37
2	PIT	11	0	0.60
3	FLA	17	0	1.01
3	PIT	16	1	1.70
4	FLA	6	0	0.48
4	PIT	4	0	0.40
5	FLA	3	2	1.60
5	PIT	2	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2