Montreal Canadiens at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-01-03 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 42.4%

MTL: 57.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.10

MTL: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs MTL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	MTL 4 - 1 CHI	MTL	MTL
2025-10-11	CHI 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-14	MTL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	MTL
2025-01-03	CHI 4 - 2 MTL	CHI	MTL
2023-12-22	CHI 2 - 5 MTL	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	17	1	1.62
1	MTL	14	1	1.37
2	CHI	13	0	0.79
2	MTL	27	0	1.58
3	CHI	14	1	1.38
3	MTL	17	1	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2