Ottawa Senators at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-01-03 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

STL: 60.6%

OTT: 39.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.08

OTT: 2.66

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs OTT: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	OTT 1 - 2 STL	STL	OTT
2025-11-28	STL 4 - 3 OTT	STL	STL
2025-01-03	STL 4 - 0 OTT	STL	STL
2024-10-29	OTT 8 - 1 STL	OTT	OTT
2024-03-21	OTT 2 - 5 STL	STL	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	STL	12	0.95
1	OTT	11	0.45
2	STL	12	0.79
2	OTT	12	0.51
3	STL	19	1.32
3	OTT	10	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7