New York Rangers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-01-04 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 7 - 4 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 68.4%
NYR: 31.6%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.70
NYR: 2.55
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | WSH | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.700 | 0.925 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WSH at home vs NYR: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | NYR 8 - 1 WSH | NYR | WSH |
| 2025-12-31 | WSH 6 - 3 NYR | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-12-23 | WSH 3 - 7 NYR | NYR | WSH |
| 2025-10-12 | NYR 0 - 1 WSH | WSH | NYR |
| 2025-03-05 | NYR 2 - 3 WSH | WSH | NYR |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 7 - 4 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.7 - 2.6
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.