Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-01-04 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

WPG: 49.8%

DET: 50.2%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.91

DET: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs DET: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-24	WPG 1 - 5 DET	DET	WPG
2025-12-31	DET 2 - 1 WPG	DET	DET
2025-01-04	WPG 2 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2024-10-30	DET 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2023-12-20	WPG 5 - 2 DET	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	12	0	0.84
1	DET	21	0	1.37
2	WPG	17	0	0.80
2	DET	7	0	0.35
3	WPG	17	0	0.71
3	DET	10	1	1.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1