Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-01-04 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 57.0%
DET: 43.0%
Expected Goals
WPG: 2.89
DET: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 39%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | WPG | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.878 | 0.961 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs DET: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | WPG 1 - 5 DET | DET | WPG |
| 2025-12-31 | DET 2 - 1 WPG | DET | DET |
| 2025-01-04 | WPG 2 - 4 DET | DET | WPG |
| 2024-10-30 | DET 2 - 6 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2023-12-20 | WPG 5 - 2 DET | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:25 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 04:33 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 05:48 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 07:14 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 16:45 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:31 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.