New Jersey Devils at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-01-04 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

SJS: 53.7%

NJD: 46.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.84

NJD: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs NJD: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-30	SJS 5 - 2 NJD	SJS	SJS
2025-10-24	NJD 3 - 1 SJS	NJD	NJD
2025-01-04	SJS 3 - 2 NJD	SJS	SJS
2024-11-10	NJD 0 - 1 SJS	SJS	NJD
2024-02-27	SJS 2 - 7 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	15	2	1.29
1	NJD	16	2	1.41
2	SJS	13	0	0.82
2	NJD	16	3	1.48
3	SJS	12	0	0.43
3	NJD	10	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2