Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2025-01-04 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 4 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

TOR: 52.7%

BOS: 47.3%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.34

BOS: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • TOR at home vs BOS: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	BOS 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	BOS
2025-11-11	BOS 5 - 3 TOR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-08	TOR 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	TOR
2025-02-25	BOS 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	TOR
2025-01-04	TOR 6 - 4 BOS	TOR	TOR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	03:29	TOR	Goal
2	03:37	TOR	Goal
2	03:49	TOR	Goal
2	18:44	TOR	Goal
3	03:43	TOR	Goal
3	04:17	TOR	Goal
3	05:28	TOR	Goal
3	17:55	TOR	Goal
3	18:10	TOR	Goal
3	19:29	TOR	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8