Minnesota Wild at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-01-04 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 4 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 67.3%

MIN: 32.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.46

MIN: 2.41

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CAR at home vs MIN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	MIN 4 - 3 CAR	MIN	CAR
2025-11-06	CAR 4 - 3 MIN	CAR	CAR
2025-02-06	MIN 2 - 1 CAR	MIN	CAR
2025-01-04	CAR 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	CAR
2024-02-27	MIN 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	11	0	0.67
1	MIN	14	1	1.08
2	CAR	12	0	0.64
2	MIN	13	1	1.17
3	CAR	23	0	1.06
3	MIN	8	1	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.5 - 2.4