Nashville Predators at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-01-04 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 1 - 4 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 64.0%

NSH: 36.0%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.14

NSH: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CGY at home vs NSH: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CGY 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-02	NSH 5 - 1 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-11-01	NSH 4 - 2 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-01-04	CGY 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2024-12-10	NSH 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	15	0	1.03
1	NSH	5	0	0.31
2	CGY	19	1	1.41
2	NSH	16	3	1.46
3	CGY	17	0	0.68
3	NSH	15	3	2.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 1 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9