Utah Hockey Club at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-01-04 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

DAL: 55.6%

UTA: 44.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.97

UTA: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • DAL at home vs UTA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	DAL 3 - 6 UTA	UTA	DAL
2026-01-31	UTA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	UTA
2026-01-15	UTA 2 - 1 DAL	UTA	UTA
2025-11-28	DAL 4 - 3 UTA	DAL	UTA
2025-04-12	DAL 3 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	16	1	1.49
1	UTA	18	0	1.28
2	DAL	10	0	0.85
2	UTA	20	0	1.35
3	DAL	7	0	0.26
3	UTA	18	1	1.21
4	DAL	5	0	0.57
4	UTA	3	0	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1