Tampa Bay Lightning at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-01-04 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 1 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

LAK: 56.4%

TBL: 43.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.02

TBL: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • LAK at home vs TBL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-01	LAK 3 - 5 TBL	TBL	LAK
2025-12-18	TBL 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	TBL
2025-01-30	TBL 3 - 0 LAK	TBL	TBL
2025-01-04	LAK 2 - 1 TBL	LAK	LAK
2024-03-23	LAK 4 - 3 TBL	LAK	TBL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	6	0	0.13
1	TBL	16	0	0.79
2	LAK	14	0	0.57
2	TBL	15	0	0.94
3	LAK	19	2	1.08
3	TBL	16	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 1 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9