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2025-26 Season Live

Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-01-04 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
SEA: 50.3%
EDM: 49.7%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.74
EDM: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 28%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
StatSEAEDM
Season SV%0.9030.906
Last 5 SV%0.8540.837
SV% vs Opponent0.847
GAA2.772.73
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SEA at home vs EDM: 2-4
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-31EDM 3 - 0 SEAEDMEDM
2025-12-04EDM 9 - 4 SEAEDMEDM
2025-11-29SEA 0 - 4 EDMEDMEDM
2025-10-25SEA 3 - 2 EDMSEAEDM
2025-03-27SEA 6 - 1 EDMSEASEA

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
100:57EDMGoal
105:18EDMGoal
211:52EDMGoal
215:56EDMGoal
307:27EDMGoal
318:02EDMGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.7 - 3.1