Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-01-04 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 50.3%
EDM: 49.7%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.74
EDM: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | SEA | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.854 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.847 | — |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SEA at home vs EDM: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | EDM 3 - 0 SEA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-12-04 | EDM 9 - 4 SEA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-29 | SEA 0 - 4 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-10-25 | SEA 3 - 2 EDM | SEA | EDM |
| 2025-03-27 | SEA 6 - 1 EDM | SEA | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:57 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 05:18 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 11:52 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 15:56 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 07:27 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 18:02 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.7 - 3.1
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