Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-01-04 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

SEA: 44.5%

EDM: 55.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.96

EDM: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	32	28	4	87.5%	5.07	4	1.07
EDM	Calvin Pickard	18	16	2	88.9%	1.58	1	-0.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SEA at home vs EDM: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	EDM
2025-03-27	SEA 6 - 1 EDM	SEA	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	7	0	0.32
1	EDM	15	1	0.93
2	SEA	9	0	0.41
2	EDM	23	0	1.42
3	SEA	11	1	0.85
3	EDM	14	3	2.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3