Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-01-05 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

CAR: 64.6%

PIT: 35.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.69

PIT: 2.13

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CAR at home vs PIT: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	PIT
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	18	1	0.83
1	PIT	11	0	0.62
2	CAR	19	1	1.16
2	PIT	9	0	0.48
3	CAR	14	0	0.63
3	PIT	11	0	0.51
4	CAR	3	1	0.59
4	PIT	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.7 - 2.1