Dallas Stars at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-01-07 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 5 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

NYR: 47.3%

DAL: 52.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.99

DAL: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs DAL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DAL 2 - 0 NYR	DAL	DAL
2025-12-02	NYR 3 - 2 DAL	NYR	NYR
2025-01-07	NYR 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-12-20	DAL 1 - 3 NYR	NYR	DAL
2024-02-20	NYR 3 - 1 DAL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	12	0	0.93
1	DAL	25	0	1.43
2	NYR	14	0	0.93
2	DAL	14	0	0.84
3	NYR	18	1	1.22
3	DAL	11	0	0.52
4	NYR	0	0	0.00
4	DAL	1	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 5 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2