Dallas Stars at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-01-07 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 4 - 5 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 24.8%
DAL: 75.2%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.24
DAL: 3.42
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | NYR | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.932 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs DAL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | DAL 2 - 0 NYR | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-02 | NYR 3 - 2 DAL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-01-07 | NYR 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-20 | DAL 1 - 3 NYR | NYR | DAL |
| 2024-02-20 | NYR 3 - 1 DAL | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:56 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 09:55 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 11:24 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 12:57 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 15:56 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:14 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 12:56 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:21 | NYR | Goal |
| 4 | 02:17 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 75.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 4 - 5 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.2 - 3.4
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