Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-01-07 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 53.2%

CBJ: 46.8%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.37

CBJ: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PIT at home vs CBJ: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	PIT 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PIT
2026-01-04	CBJ 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-28	CBJ 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	CBJ
2025-10-25	PIT 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-21	PIT 6 - 3 CBJ	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	6	0	0.18
1	CBJ	8	1	0.62
2	PIT	18	0	0.63
2	CBJ	15	0	0.50
3	PIT	11	0	0.53
3	CBJ	17	0	0.62
4	PIT	4	0	0.33
4	CBJ	2	0	0.05
5	PIT	1	0	0.07
5	CBJ	3	2	1.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0