St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-01-07 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 6 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 48.3%

STL: 51.7%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.21

STL: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • MIN at home vs STL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	11	0	0.66
1	STL	20	0	0.88
2	MIN	14	0	0.57
2	STL	8	0	0.36
3	MIN	8	1	0.87
3	STL	21	2	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 6 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2