Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-01-07 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 48.7%

NSH: 51.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.22

NSH: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	28	26	2	92.9%	3.94	3	1.94
NSH	Juuse Saros	31	26	5	83.9%	4.01	2	-0.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs NSH: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	WPG 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	WPG
2025-11-29	NSH 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NSH
2025-10-18	WPG 4 - 1 NSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-27	NSH 2 - 1 WPG	NSH	NSH
2025-01-07	WPG 5 - 2 NSH	WPG	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	18	1	1.95
1	NSH	21	1	1.26
2	WPG	13	0	0.69
2	NSH	11	0	0.70
3	WPG	13	1	1.37
3	NSH	19	2	1.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1