Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-01-07 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

SJS: 34.4%

VGK: 65.6%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.66

VGK: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • SJS at home vs VGK: 0-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-11	SJS 2 - 7 VGK	VGK	SJS
2025-12-23	VGK 7 - 2 SJS	VGK	VGK
2025-11-29	VGK 4 - 3 SJS	VGK	VGK
2025-10-09	SJS 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-07	SJS 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	15	0	0.82
1	VGK	19	0	1.17
2	SJS	4	0	0.29
2	VGK	27	0	1.28
3	SJS	9	0	0.48
3	VGK	17	3	2.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4