Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-01-08 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

WSH: 59.4%

VAN: 40.6%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.29

VAN: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs VAN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	VAN 4 - 3 WSH	VAN	VAN
2025-10-19	WSH 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	WSH
2025-01-25	VAN 2 - 1 WSH	VAN	VAN
2025-01-08	WSH 2 - 1 VAN	WSH	WSH
2024-03-16	VAN 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	14	0	1.02
1	VAN	8	1	0.77
2	WSH	11	0	0.64
2	VAN	28	2	2.07
3	WSH	8	0	0.63
3	VAN	11	0	0.54
4	WSH	6	1	0.77
4	VAN	2	0	0.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7