Florida Panthers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-01-08 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 4 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 56.1%

FLA: 43.9%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.12

FLA: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	33	29	4	87.9%	4.15	5	0.15
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	26	25	1	96.2%	3.25	1	2.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs FLA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	FLA 3 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-12-10	UTA 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	UTA
2025-03-28	FLA 2 - 1 UTA	FLA	FLA
2025-01-08	UTA 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	10	0	0.65
1	FLA	14	0	0.38
2	UTA	23	1	1.66
2	FLA	20	1	1.39
3	UTA	14	0	0.94
3	FLA	19	4	2.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0