Calgary Flames at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-04-17 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 5 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 61.3%
CGY: 38.7%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.42
CGY: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | LAK | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.866 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.947 | 0.955 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • LAK at home vs CGY: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | LAK 1 - 2 CGY | CGY | LAK |
| 2025-04-17 | LAK 1 - 5 CGY | CGY | LAK |
| 2025-01-11 | CGY 2 - 1 LAK | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-11-11 | CGY 3 - 1 LAK | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-04-11 | LAK 4 - 1 CGY | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:15 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 13:49 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 11:35 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 08:24 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 07:28 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 06:05 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 5 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0