Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2025-01-09 • Amalie Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 4 - 1 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

TBL: 65.9%

BOS: 34.1%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.29

BOS: 2.41

Total Goals

Median: 4.6

Over 5.5: 37%

Over 6.5: 24%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • TBL at home vs BOS: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	BOS 1 - 2 TBL	TBL	TBL
2026-04-04	TBL 3 - 1 BOS	TBL	TBL
2026-02-01	TBL 6 - 5 BOS	TBL	TBL
2025-10-13	BOS 3 - 4 TBL	TBL	BOS
2025-03-15	BOS 2 - 6 TBL	TBL	TBL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
2	14:07	TBL	Goal
2	19:10	TBL	Goal
3	02:05	TBL	Goal
3	18:28	TBL	Goal
3	19:24	TBL	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 4 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 2.4