New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-01-09 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 43.3%

NJD: 56.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.85

NJD: 3.60

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NYR at home vs NJD: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NJD
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	0	0.24
1	NJD	13	1	1.08
2	NYR	11	1	0.92
2	NJD	13	1	1.18
3	NYR	23	0	0.87
3	NJD	11	0	1.04
4	NYR	3	0	0.42
4	NJD	3	1	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.8 - 3.6