New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-01-09 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 41.5%
NJD: 58.5%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.62
NJD: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 4.7
Over 5.5: 35%
Over 6.5: 23%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | NYR | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.957 | 0.836 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • NYR at home vs NJD: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | NYR 4 - 1 NJD | NYR | NJD |
| 2026-03-18 | NYR 3 - 6 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2026-03-07 | NJD 6 - 3 NYR | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-04-05 | NJD 4 - 0 NYR | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-09 | NYR 3 - 2 NJD | NYR | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:05 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:03 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 08:28 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 17:13 | NYR | Goal |
| 4 | 02:48 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 3 - 2 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.6 - 3.1
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