Toronto Maple Leafs at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-01-09 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

CAR: 61.4%

TOR: 38.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.46

TOR: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs TOR: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	TOR 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-04	CAR 1 - 5 TOR	TOR	CAR
2025-11-09	TOR 4 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-13	CAR 1 - 4 TOR	TOR	CAR
2025-02-22	TOR 6 - 3 CAR	TOR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	0	1.04
1	TOR	19	0	0.91
2	CAR	24	2	2.41
2	TOR	11	1	1.07
3	CAR	20	1	1.60
3	TOR	19	0	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 4.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 2.5 - 2.5